Planned before the pilot month is read: GitHub's own thread-to-example conversion¶

The sizing's example projections borrow the Gerrit conversion, and the two denominators differ (above), so GitHub's conversion is measured on a built pilot month before any GitHub organization is admitted. Method (scripts/github_conversion.py): every PR the route lists for the month, each counted with the sizing's own per-PR rule (pr_threads, moved out of github_sizing.py so both read one definition); the numerator is the refined examples the route built from those PRs. A PR the sizing scores zero (bot or AI author) keeps its examples in the numerator, so the rate times the sizing's thread total projects the examples the route would build. A PR the route failed to collect, or that GitHub no longer answers for at the census, counts on neither side, since its examples are unknown; one withdrawn at collection keeps its threads, as the sizing counted them. The script refuses when the listing differs from the snapshot's own count, when an example comes from an unlisted PR, when failed PRs go unnamed, or when the month has no reviewer threads. The interval is a 95% percentile bootstrap over PRs of the ratio. The sizing's own draws that fall in the month are counted again by the census and their agreement reported, a check on the rule and on the data since the draws were taken.

Rule, fixed now. github_sizing_report.py applies GitHub's conversion, not Gerrit's (kept in the report for comparison only): an organization with a built pilot month uses its own interval, the others borrow the span of every measured interval and are marked borrowed. The candidate thresholds stay as registered (low end of projected examples at 3,700 for an H1 cell, 1,850 for RQ2; borderline on the high end alone). OpenJDK 2024-11 is the first pilot month; Apache, LLVM, .NET, Grafana and HashiCorp each get a 2024-11 pilot month in turn, read the same way, and the table is re-derived as each lands. Written while the OpenJDK month was still being collected, before any of its examples or counts were read, and amended before reading after an independent review: failed and gone PRs left out of both sides, the refusals above, and the route now asks again on resume for a PR whose failure was checkpointed, where it had replayed the failure.